OTSLPCohortJournal of autism and developmental disorders2022

Trajectories of Symptom Severity in Children with Autism: Variability and Turning Points through the Transition to School.

Stelios Georgiades, Peter A Tait, Paul D McNicholas and 14 others

PMID 33704613

WHAT IT FOUND

Among 187 children with autism followed from diagnosis to age 10, 51 improved continuously and 136 improved then plateaued around age 6.

Higher scores on language, cognitive, and adaptive behavior measures were seen in the continuously improving group.

Key findings

01In the 187 children with complete data, 51 were assigned to a continuously improving group and 136 to an improving then plateauing group.

02The continuously improving group had lower baseline autism symptom severity and higher baseline scores on language, cognitive, and adaptive behavior measures than the plateauing group.

03After age 6, the larger plateauing group showed no further improvement, while the smaller continuously improving group continued improving at a slower rate.

STILL TO COME

How it was doneWhat they foundWhat it means for OTsWhat it means for SLPs

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What it does not show

Only children with complete data at all four visits were analyzed, and 43% of ADOS severity scores at the age 10 visit were missing among children with at least three scores, so the groups may not represent all children with autism. The clustering did not account for the services children received, and the paper notes that almost all children in the sample could access specialized services such as speech and language or applied behavioral therapy during preschool, so service effects cannot be separated from trajectory. The trajectory groups were derived from autism severity measures and age at assessment, so they may not capture change in other developmental domains. Turning points were identified from assessments at mean ages of 41, 56, 80, and 129 months, so additional turning points between visits could have been missed. Information about school settings was collected from caregivers in a non-standardized open-ended questionnaire, so the study cannot systematically compare the timing or nature of transition into school.

Declared interests

The supplied text lists funding from Canadian Institutes of Health Research, Autism Speaks, Government of British Columbia, Kids Brain Health Network, Sinneave Family Foundation, and Alberta Innovates Health Solutions. It does not provide author conflict of interest declarations.

The easy way to misread this

Do not conclude that the transition to school causes improvement to plateau. The study is observational, did not account for services, and used only children with complete data, so it cannot show cause. Do not use the groups to predict an individual child's outcome, because individual children varied substantially within each group.

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