RNCohortGeriatric nursing (New York, N.Y.)2017

Identifying distinct risk profiles to predict adverse events among community-dwelling older adults.

Melissa O'Connor, Alexandra Hanlon, Elizabeth Mauer and 14 others

PMID 28479081

WHAT IT FOUND

Three risk profiles of older adults living at home distinguished hospitalization, emergency visits and death.

High-risk patients had more prior ED use, hospitalizations, falls, limited activities and ADL and IADL assistance needs.

Key findings

01Among 371 older adults in the intervention group, three risk profiles were identified: High Risk (125), Medium Risk (145) and Low Risk (101).

02Time to first hospitalization differed significantly by risk profile; by 36 months all High Risk patients had been hospitalized, compared with 69% of Medium Risk and 27% of Low Risk.

03The High Risk profile was marked by prior ED use and hospitalization in the last 6 months, four or more clinic visits in the last 6 months, needing ADL and IADL assistance, special equipment, arthritis, falls, limited activities, being female and taking five or more medications.

STILL TO COME

How it was doneWhat they foundWhat it means for RNs

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What it does not show

Only patients who received the nurse-led intervention were analysed, and usual-care control data were unavailable. The study was observational and exploratory, so it did not test whether the intervention changed outcomes. The Sutter questionnaire was a screening instrument without psychometric qualities, and patient self-report may have missed some hospitalizations or ED visits. Patients came from one geographic area in Pennsylvania, outcome data came only from participating hospitals, and ethnicity and socio-economic information were limited. Risk profiles were not independently validated, and number of chronic conditions and medications were dichotomized, which may affect class assignment.

The easy way to misread this

Do not read these profiles as proof that the nurse-led intervention prevents hospitalization, ED visits or death. The nurse-led intervention included care coordination, disease management and preventive services, but the analysis included only patients who received it, had no usual-care comparison, and did not test whether any component prevented events.

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