PTOTOtherJournal of neuroengineering and rehabilitation2026

Beyond proportional recovery in wake-up stroke: unsupervised recovery clusters based on the NIHSS.

Andrea Zanola, Antonio Luigi Bisogno, Veronika Vadinova and 4 others

PMID 41612435

WHAT IT FOUND

Stroke recovery did not follow one proportional rule.

Clustering 201 wake-up stroke patients by NIHSS recovery found six groups, from full recovery to worsening, and early recovery at 7 days was associated with 90-day disability.

Key findings

01The analysis identified six recovery clusters, from perfect recovery to no recovery.

02An early recovery ratio greater than 0.3, measured between 22-36 h and 7 days, was associated with a higher probability of mild disability.

03The recovery clusters were significantly associated with 90-day motor abilities.

STILL TO COME

How it was doneWhat they foundWhat it means for PTsWhat it means for OTs

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What it does not show

The analysis included only 201 of the 503 patients in the source dataset, and only those with complete NIHSS data, a zero Level-of-Consciousness Vigilance score, onset NIHSS greater than 4, and a non-zero NIHSS at 22-36 h, so it may not apply to patients with lower initial NIHSS scores or missing early scores. The clustering used only the total NIHSS recovery ratio, not individual NIHSS items, lesion features, or other clinical measures, so it cannot identify which specific impairments shaped a patient's trajectory. For patients with NIHSS below 6 at 22-36 h, the models and prediction intervals did not adequately discriminate between individuals, so the clusters are less reliable in low-impairment stroke. The NIHSS ceiling effect may hide variability, especially near full recovery. The clusters were not validated in an independent cohort, and the authors state replication in independent cohorts is needed. The study is a secondary clustering analysis of trial data, not a treatment trial, so it cannot show that any therapy caused recovery. The sample was limited to wake-up stroke patients with unknown onset time, so it may not apply to all stroke types.

Declared interests

The paper reports funding from HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme and HORIZON EUROPE European Research Council. No author competing interests are listed in the provided text.

The easy way to misread this

Do not treat an early recovery ratio greater than 0.3 as a proven prediction rule. It was an association in one wake-up stroke sample, and the clusters were not validated in an independent cohort.

Summarised by AI from the full paper, without a clinician reviewing it. Check it against the source before it changes what you do. Read it on PubMed →