PTOTSLPCohortArchives of physical medicine and rehabilitation2025

Reductions in Therapy Provision in Skilled Nursing Facilities After Medicare Payment Reform and During the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis.

Rachel A Prusynski, Harsha Amaravadi, Cait Brown and 5 others

PMID 40484194

WHAT IT FOUND

Medicare's 2019 payment reform cut therapy minutes in skilled nursing facilities by roughly a quarter.

Physical and occupational therapy dropped the most. Rural and for-profit facilities saw the sharpest declines, and therapy levels had not recovered by late 2021.

Key findings

01The implementation of the Patient-Driven Payment Model was associated with a 23.7% reduction in total therapy minutes per day compared to pre-implementation averages.

02Physical therapy and occupational therapy minutes declined by similar amounts, while speech-language pathology minutes declined slightly less.

03Rural skilled nursing facilities experienced a much smaller recovery in therapy provision during the pandemic compared to urban facilities.

STILL TO COME

How it was doneWhat they foundWhat it means for PTsWhat it means for OTsWhat it means for SLPs

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What it does not show

The study measured therapy minutes provided, not patient outcomes or functional gains, so it cannot confirm whether the reduction in therapy harmed patients. Twenty-six percent of the original sample was excluded due to missing data or overlapping policy implementation dates, which may skew results if certain facilities were systematically excluded. Pre-reform therapy minutes were estimated using lookback periods from assessments, which may not capture every day of therapy provided. The analysis could not fully account for changes in patient complexity or coding practices that occurred alongside the payment reform.

Declared interests

All authors declared no conflicts of interest.

The easy way to misread this

Do not assume that fewer therapy minutes automatically equals worse patient outcomes. This study reports a reduction in service volume, but it did not measure functional recovery, discharge status, or quality of life, so the clinical impact of this decline remains unknown.

Summarised by AI from the full paper, without a clinician reviewing it. Check it against the source before it changes what you do. Read it on PubMed →