OTOtherAutism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research2026

Reduced Susceptibility to the Dunning-Kruger Effect in Autistic Employees.

Lorne M Hartman, Harley Glassman, Braxton L Hartman

PMID 41221597

WHAT IT FOUND

Autistic employees overestimated their reasoning skills less than non-autistic peers, especially when performing poorly.

They were more accurate at judging their own competence on analytic tasks. This suggests autistic staff may offer more realistic self-assessments, though results depend on the specific task and population.

Key findings

01Autistic participants had significantly smaller gaps between their estimated and actual performance on the Cognitive Reflection Test compared to non-autistic participants.

02Non-autistic participants in the lowest performance group showed greater overestimation of their abilities than autistic participants in the same group.

03The study found no significant interaction between diagnosis and performance level, meaning the pattern of overestimation decreasing with skill was similar for both groups, though the magnitude differed.

STILL TO COME

How it was doneWhat they foundWhat it means for OTs

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What it does not show

The sample was limited to employed or job-seeking adults, excluding autistic individuals who are unable to work or maintain employment, so findings may not apply to those with higher support needs. The groups differed in age (autistic mean 32.2 years vs non-autistic 38.7 years), which could influence performance or self-assessment. Autism diagnosis was self-reported, not clinically verified. The task measured analytic reasoning, a domain where autistic individuals may already have strengths. Results may not extend to social or emotional domains where autistic individuals face more challenges. The study was cross-sectional and did not track changes over time or in real workplace settings.

Declared interests

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

The easy way to misread this

Do not assume autistic employees are generally more self-aware or less overconfident in all areas. This accuracy was specific to analytic reasoning tasks. In domains involving social communication or emotional intelligence, autistic individuals may face different metacognitive challenges or biases not captured here.

Summarised by AI from the full paper, without a clinician reviewing it. Check it against the source before it changes what you do. Read it on PubMed →