Predictive model of surgical infection to enhance patient safety: A retrospective cohort study.
Christiany Moçali Gonzalez, Joana de Oliveira Pantoja Freire, Camila Medeiros Dos Santos de Cerqueira and 1 others
PMID 41329850WHAT IT FOUND
Infection chance was higher with older age, longer operating time, not using video-assisted surgery, higher wound contamination, higher ASA class, and general surgery among 20,778 surgeries.
Key findings
01In 20,778 surgeries, 1,491 surgical site infections occurred, an incidence of approximately 7.2%.
02Each additional hour of surgery increased the chance of infection by 34%, and not using video-assisted surgery increased it by 172%.
03The final model kept age, procedure duration, no video use, higher contamination potential, general surgery, and ASA 2 or 3 as risk factors.
STILL TO COME
How it was doneWhat they foundWhat it means for RNs
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What it does not show
The study is retrospective and uses secondary surveillance records, so underreporting and uneven record quality may affect infection counts and risk factors. It was done in one university hospital in Rio de Janeiro, so the model may not apply to other hospitals or surgical populations. The years 2020 and 2021 were excluded because pandemic changes made surgical activity and infection reporting atypical, so it does not describe those periods. The paper reports 20,778 surgeries, while tables describe them as patients, so the number of individual patients is not separately stated. Because this is an observational cohort, the factors are associated with infection; the study does not show that changing any factor, such as surgery duration or video use, will reduce infection. Implant use appeared protective in bivariate analysis (7.9% infection without implants and 5.5% with implants), but did not remain independent, and the authors note this conflicts with the literature. The paper's ASA reporting is inconsistent: the final model list and table use ASA 3, while one results sentence says ASA 4.
The easy way to misread this
Do not read these associations as proof that shortening surgery, choosing video-assisted surgery, or targeting a higher ASA class will prevent surgical site infection. This retrospective cohort found links between factors and infection, not tested effects of interventions.