Longitudinal Investigation of Rehospitalization Patterns in Spinal Cord Injury and Traumatic Brain Injury Among Medicare Beneficiaries.
Christopher R Pretz, James E Graham, Addie Middleton and 2 others
PMID 28115070WHAT IT FOUND
One year after inpatient rehab, 57% of Medicare beneficiaries with spinal cord injury and 54% with traumatic brain injury were rehospitalized.
The risk pattern changed in a straight line over the year. Comorbidity, prior admissions, rehab stay length, and discharge function were linked to risk.
Key findings
01Cumulative first-time readmission rates at 30 days, 90 days, 6 months, and 1 year were 23%, 35%, 45%, and 57% for spinal cord injury and 20%, 32%, 42%, and 54% for traumatic brain injury.
02A straight-line pattern was the best description of change over time in both groups.
03The authors created interactive tools to estimate individual rehospitalization probability over time based on patient characteristics.
STILL TO COME
How it was doneWhat they foundWhat it means for PTs
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What it does not show
The sample was limited to older Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries who received inpatient rehabilitation after acute hospitalization for spinal cord injury or traumatic brain injury, so it may not apply to younger patients, Medicare Advantage enrollees, or people who did not need inpatient rehabilitation. Patients who did not survive 90 days after discharge, had missing key data, enrolled in Medicare Advantage, or had a later rehabilitation stay were excluded. The study describes claims patterns and does not prove that any variable caused readmission or that treatment changed risk. The authors intended to describe the whole dataset, not to build a validated predictive model, so the interactive tools should not be treated as proven prediction tools. Some factors that may affect readmission, such as traumatic brain injury severity, were not available in the claims data and were not modeled. Emergency department visits without admission were not counted as readmissions. Monthly rates could include more than one readmission for the same person. The models used only months 1, 2, 4, 6, 8, 10, and 12 because of memory limitations.
Declared interests
The authors report no conflicts of interest and state that the manuscript does not contain information about medical devices.
The easy way to misread this
Do not treat the interactive estimates as a validated prediction tool or as evidence that therapy prevents readmission. The study describes associations in older Medicare beneficiaries with spinal cord injury or traumatic brain injury, and the authors say the analysis was descriptive rather than predictive.