Incremental Utility of 24-Month Autism Spectrum Disorder Screening After Negative 18-Month Screening.
Yael G Dai, Lauren E Miller, Riane K Ramsey and 3 others
PMID 30830489WHAT IT FOUND
After a negative 18-month autism screen, 0.4% of toddlers who were rescreened at 24 months screened positive, and 10 were diagnosed with autism; 80% of those evaluated had a developmental condition that warranted intervention.
Key findings
01Among children who screened negative at 18 months and were rescreened at 24 months, 0.4% (32) screened positive at 24 months.
02Ten of the children who screened positive at 24 months were diagnosed with autism; among the 20 children evaluated, 80% received a developmental diagnosis that warranted intervention.
03The later-diagnosed group had higher overall ADOS severity than the early-diagnosed group, but the CARS did not show a difference.
STILL TO COME
How it was doneWhat they foundWhat it means for SLPs
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What it does not show
The late-diagnosed group had only 10 children, so comparisons with the 203 early-diagnosed children are unstable. Twelve of the 32 children who screened positive at 24 months did not attend an evaluation, so their diagnostic status is unknown. The 80% diagnosis rate among evaluated children may be an over- or under-estimate if extrapolated to all children who screened positive at 24 months. Children who screened negative at 18 months were not systematically evaluated then, so the study cannot tell whether symptoms emerged later or were missed. The overwhelming majority of the sample was White, and community practices may not administer the Follow-Up telephone interview as the research team did. Household income was missing for 60% of the late-diagnosed group and 35% of the early-diagnosed group. The ADOS severity difference was small and not supported by the CARS, so it may be a measurement artifact.
Declared interests
The study used data from a federally funded early detection study. Diana Robins and Deborah Fein are co-owners of M-CHAT LLC, which receives royalties from companies that incorporate the M-CHAT into commercial products. The data used are from the freely available version. The remaining authors declared no conflict.
The easy way to misread this
Do not treat a negative 18-month autism screen as ruling out autism. In this study, 0.4% of children who were rescreened at 24 months screened positive, and 10 were diagnosed with autism; 12 of the 32 children who screened positive at 24 months were not evaluated.