PTMeta-AnalysisPM & R : the journal of injury, function, and rehabilitation2019

Exposure to a Motor Vehicle Collision and the Risk of Future Neck Pain: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Paul S Nolet, Peter C Emary, Vicki L Kristman and 3 others

PMID 31020768

WHAT IT FOUND

People who injured their neck in a motor vehicle collision had 2.3 times the later neck pain risk of comparison groups.

Collisions without reported neck injury, or with unknown injury status, showed no increased risk.

Key findings

01The pooled estimate for future neck pain after a neck injury in a motor vehicle collision was 2.3 times the risk in comparison groups.

02Studies of exposure to a rear-end collision without reported neck injury, or where injury status was unknown, did not find an increased risk of future neck pain.

03The review estimated that 57% of ongoing neck pain in people with a prior neck injury in a motor vehicle collision was attributable to the crash.

STILL TO COME

How it was doneWhat they foundWhat it means for PTs

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What it does not show

The studies were observational, so they show association rather than proof that a collision caused neck pain. The pooled analysis had substantial heterogeneity, with I2 = 75.5%, so the 2.3-times estimate did not apply equally across studies. Exposure definitions varied widely, including self-reported injury, emergency room diagnosis, police records, and insurance records. Neck pain was measured differently across studies, with some using a single yes or no question and others using questionnaires. Follow-up time varied from unknown to 1, 5, 7, and 17 years, and meta-regression did not explain heterogeneity by follow-up time. Some studies had moderate or high risk of bias in participation, attrition, neck pain measurement, confounding, or reporting. Control groups were not always unexposed; one general population control group included people with prior motor vehicle collision exposure. The 57% attributable risk was calculated from the pooled relative risk, not measured directly in a single patient. The search was limited to English-language studies published from 1998 onward.

The easy way to misread this

Do not conclude that any motor vehicle collision causes future neck pain. The increased risk was found only in studies where participants had a neck injury in a collision. Studies of collisions without reported neck injury or with unknown injury status found no increased risk.

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