PTOTSLPOtherFrontiers in rehabilitation sciences2025

Estimates of the global workforce required for providing assistive technology: a modeling study.

Johanna Rosberg Petersson, Malin Tistad, Sébastien Muller and 2 others

PMID 40697954

WHAT IT FOUND

A modeling study estimates that meeting global assistive technology needs requires 4.4 million full-time equivalent workers.

This calculation assumes every country achieves the high access levels and workforce productivity currently seen in Sweden. Actual requirements will vary significantly based on local resources and service organization.

Key findings

01The study estimates a global workforce of 4.4 million FTE is required to provide assistive technology at a high level of access.

02These estimates are derived from Swedish workforce data, which may overstate needs in other contexts due to higher specialist ratios and different productivity levels.

03The model excludes policy, funding, and mass production personnel, meaning the total global workforce needed across all support components is likely greater.

STILL TO COME

How it was doneWhat they foundWhat it means for PTsWhat it means for OTsWhat it means for SLPs

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What it does not show

The model is based entirely on Swedish data, which reflects a high-resource context with a specific organizational structure. The authors state that Sweden may have an excess of specialists compared to other countries, which could inflate the estimated workforce requirements for other contexts. The study only includes the primary workforce involved in provision at centers and associated prescribers. It excludes personnel working in policy, funding, legislation, standards, design, and mass production, so the total workforce needed is likely higher. The estimate assumes that workforce productivity in other countries will match Sweden's. The sensitivity analysis suggests that if productivity varies by up to 50%, the required workforce could range from 2.2 to 6.5 million FTE. Data on prescribers was difficult to compile and varied across domains, likely contributing to a conservative estimate. The study does not account for differences in how services are organized, such as decentralization or task-sharing, which can significantly impact workforce needs.

The easy way to misread this

Do not interpret the 4.4 million FTE estimate as a fixed target for every country. The model is based on Swedish workforce structures, which include a high ratio of clinical to non-clinical staff and specialist roles that may not be feasible or necessary in other resource settings. The actual workforce required will depend heavily on local organizational models, productivity levels, and the mix of prefabricated versus custom products.

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