Unsupervised machine learning identifies symptoms of indigestion as a predictor of acute decompensation and adverse cardiac events in patients with heart failure presenting to the emergency department.
Karina Kraevsky-Phillips, Susan M Sereika, Zeineb Bouzid and 5 others
PMID 37247537WHAT IT FOUND
Indigestion symptoms were associated with acute heart failure exacerbation and 30-day cardiac events in heart failure patients arriving with chest pain or equivalent symptoms.
Triage teams should not dismiss indigestion as benign here.
Key findings
01The analysis grouped patients into three symptom clusters: dyspnea only (178 patients), indigestion with or without dyspnea (100 patients), and neither dyspnea nor indigestion (160 patients).
02Compared with the neither-dyspnea-nor-indigestion cluster, the indigestion cluster had higher odds of acute heart failure exacerbation (odds ratio 1.8, 95% confidence interval 1.0 to 3.4) and 30-day major adverse cardiac events (odds ratio 1.8, 95% confidence interval 1.0 to 3.1).
03Compared with the neither-dyspnea-nor-indigestion cluster, the dyspnea-only cluster did not have higher odds of acute heart failure exacerbation but had higher odds of 30-day major adverse cardiac events (odds ratio 1.6, 95% confidence interval 1.0 to 2.6).
STILL TO COME
How it was doneWhat they foundWhat it means for RNs
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What it does not show
The analysis was secondary and included only heart failure patients from a parent study of people arriving with chest pain or equivalent symptoms, so it does not describe all heart failure patients presenting to an emergency department. Symptoms were coded only as present or absent from electronic health records, without severity, so the clusters cannot show how mild or severe symptoms relate to risk. The study was done at three hospitals in a small geographic area, so the clusters may not generalise to other emergency departments or populations. The findings are associations, not proof that indigestion caused decompensation or adverse events, and several outcomes were composite. The reported odds ratios had lower confidence bounds at 1.0, so the excess risk is not strong certainty. Because the parent study recruited patients with chest pain or equivalent symptoms, symptoms such as palpitations may have been captured differently than in routine emergency care.
The easy way to misread this
Do not conclude that indigestion alone causes heart failure decompensation or that every patient with indigestion needs urgent cardiac treatment. The association was found only among heart failure patients presenting with chest pain or equivalent symptoms, and the reported odds ratios had lower bounds at 1.0.