RNCohortJournal of the American Medical Directors Association2021

COVID-19 Incidence and Mortality Among Long-Term Care Facility Residents and Staff in South Carolina.

Nicholas V Resciniti, Morgan Fuller, Joshua Sellner and 1 others

PMID 34481792

WHAT IT FOUND

Long-term care residents with COVID-19 had much higher infection and death rates than community-dwelling older adults.

Staff had more cases early but lower death risk than comparable adults not in facilities. The authors suggest staff testing and protection.

Key findings

01Long-term care residents had 484.7 cases and 115.6 deaths per 10,000 from 3/15/2020 to 1/2/2021, compared with 51.0 cases and 3.0 deaths per 10,000 among community-dwelling older adults.

02Long-term care residents with COVID-19 were hospitalized in 26.5% of cases and died in 23.9% of cases, compared with 14.9% hospitalization and 6.0% death among community-dwelling older adults with COVID-19.

03After adjusting for age, gender, race, neurological disease/neurodevelopmental disorder, diabetes, stroke, cardiovascular, COPD, asthma, chronic liver disease, and immunosuppressive condition, long-term care residents had 1.74 times greater hazard of death, and staff had 0.58 times lower hazard of death compared with adults not working in long-term care.

STILL TO COME

How it was doneWhat they foundWhat it means for RNs

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What it does not show

This is observational surveillance data, not a trial, so it cannot prove that any policy, test, mask, quarantine or other measure changed infection or death rates. Resident population counts before 5/17/2020 were assumed constant because mandatory reporting began then, which may distort early incidence and mortality rates. Case reports did not include clinical manifestations of COVID-19 or comprehensive geriatric assessments, so important severity and function details are missing. Staff and resident case trends were parallel, but the study cannot tell whether staff infections caused resident outbreaks or regional spread affected both. The staff comparison uses adults not working in long-term care, and staff had fewer chronic health conditions, so lower death risk may reflect health or healthcare access. Probable cases could be classified using antigen tests, clinical criteria with epidemiologic linkage, or vital records, so case definitions were not all laboratory confirmed by molecular testing.

Declared interests

No funding or conflict-of-interest declaration is reported. The analysis used state public health data under a data use agreement with the South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control, and it was approved by the DHEC Institutional Review Board.

The easy way to misread this

Do not conclude that staff testing, masks, quarantine or other policies were proven to reduce spread. The study is observational, many policies came months after the pandemic began, and the authors say the effect of broad policies and the link between staff and resident cases remain unclear.

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The study

Participants
54,514 older adults with COVID-19; 7,366 long-term care residents and 47,148 community-dwelling older adults; 6,877 long-term care staff and 301,036 general population adults.
Certainty of evidence
Low

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Nicholas V Resciniti, Morgan Fuller, Joshua Sellner, et al. COVID-19 Incidence and Mortality Among Long-Term Care Facility Residents and Staff in South Carolina. Journal of the American Medical Directors Association. 2021.

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