RNCohortHeart & lung : the journal of critical care2022

Clinical and laboratory predictors at ICU admission affecting course of illness and mortality rates in a tertiary COVID-19 center.

Andrea Kukoč, Antonija Mihelčić, Ivan Miko and 13 others

PMID 35104727

WHAT IT FOUND

In 692 critically ill COVID-19 ICU patients higher organ failure (SOFA) score worse oxygenation ratio (PaO2/FiO2) and need for invasive mechanical ventilation were strongest predictors of ICU death.

Age over 75 and higher ferritin or IL-6 were linked to shorter survival.

Key findings

01After adjustment, the organ failure score (SOFA) and oxygenation ratio (PaO2/FiO2) were associated with ICU outcome.

02After adjustment for ICU procedures and complications, starting invasive mechanical ventilation was a significant predictor of ICU mortality (OR 11.8, 95% CI 7.4-19.2).

03Over the first 7 ICU days, survivors' oxygenation ratio and organ failure score improved significantly, while non-survivors did not.

STILL TO COME

How it was doneWhat they foundWhat it means for RNs

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What it does not show

Retrospective single-center study from electronic records, so unmeasured confounding and missing data could affect the results. Only the most severe patients were admitted to the ICU because many high-flow oxygen patients were managed in specialized wards, so the findings may not apply to less severe ICU patients. Many patients came from other institutions or palliative facilities, which could have increased mortality and selection bias. Patients re-transferred to other hospitals after negative PCR tests were not followed long term, so later outcomes are incomplete. Treatments such as corticosteroids, anticoagulation, antiplatelet therapy, antivirals and immunomodulators were not recorded electronically, so their effects could not be analysed. The study is observational, so it cannot prove that any factor or intervention caused death; some adjusted associations, such as arterial hypertension and CRP, are difficult to interpret. Some biomarker and complication associations were inconsistent between analyses, making them hard to interpret.

Declared interests

The authors declared no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have influenced the work.

The easy way to misread this

Do not conclude that invasive mechanical ventilation caused death. Patients who needed ventilation were already much sicker, and this retrospective observational study cannot separate the effect of treatment from severity.

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