Baseline functional oxygen uptake gain as a prognostic factor of center-based exercise responding in well-functioning older adults.
Tingting Liu, Qiaowei Li, Feng Huang and 7 others
PMID 41677778WHAT IT FOUND
In 151 older adults doing one year of center-based supervised plus home exercise, lower baseline oxygen gain per workload was linked to a meaningful aerobic fitness gain.
A low baseline marker may help set expectations, not prove exercise works.
Key findings
01In 151 older adults analyzed after one year, lower baseline oxygen uptake gain per workload was associated with a greater absolute change in peakVO2.
02A baseline ΔVO2/ΔWR cutoff of 9.310 mL/min/W predicted exercise response with sensitivity 44.74% and specificity 89.38%.
03In the 2-year extended analysis, every 1 mL/min/W decrease in baseline ΔVO2/ΔWR was associated with a 149.0% higher likelihood of exercise response.
STILL TO COME
How it was doneWhat they foundWhat it means for PTs
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What it does not show
It was a single-center, single-arm pre-post study from an intervention arm of a prospective cohort, so there was no comparison group to separate exercise changes from other changes over time. Exercise responders were defined after follow-up using a peakVO2 change cutoff of 2.5 mL/kg/min, so the analysis is post-hoc, not a randomised comparison. Participants were community-dwelling, non-disabled older adults of Han ethnicity able to walk 400 meters in 15 minutes without assistance, so findings may not apply to more disabled or diverse populations. Attrition occurred: 180 enrolled, 151 analyzed at 1 year, and 91 completed 2 years. The authors note potential attrition bias, but their sensitivity analysis did not substantially change the main conclusions. The prognostic marker required cardiopulmonary exercise testing, which the authors note may limit routine use outside specialist settings.
Declared interests
The authors declared no financial conflicts of interest. The work was funded by Fujian Health Committee, Fujian Medical University, Fujian Natural Science Foundation, Fujian Provincial Department of Science and Technology, and a Central Leading Local Science and Technology Development Special Fund Project.
The easy way to misread this
Do not read the 9.310 mL/min/W cutoff as a reliable clinical classifier. It had sensitivity 44.74% and specificity 89.38%, and the study had no comparison group, so it shows an association, not a tested treatment effect.
Summarised by AI from the full paper, without a clinician reviewing it. Check it against the source before it changes what you do. Read it on PubMed →