OtherAutism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research2025

Assessing the causal association between celiac disease and autism spectrum disorder: A two-sample Mendelian randomization approach.

Abiodun Fatoba, Claire Simpson

PMID 39587862

WHAT IT FOUND

Genetic evidence shows no causal link between celiac disease and autism.

While some observational studies suggested a connection, this analysis indicates that prior associations may have been influenced by confounding factors rather than a direct biological cause.

Key findings

01Analysis found no evidence to support a causal relationship between celiac disease and autism spectrum disorder.

02The study had limited statistical power of 5% to detect an association between the two conditions.

03The datasets used were from European ancestry, which precludes applying the conclusion to other populations.

STILL TO COME

How it was doneWhat they found

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What it does not show

The study had low statistical power, with only a 5% chance of detecting an association if one existed. The genetic data was derived exclusively from individuals of European ancestry, limiting generalizability to other ethnic groups. The relatively small sample size in the underlying genome-wide association studies could affect the reliability of the null finding. Limited understanding of the biological mechanisms of the genetic variants used could still hide unobserved pleiotropic effects.

Declared interests

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

The easy way to misread this

Do not interpret the lack of causal evidence as proof that celiac disease and autism are unrelated. The study had very low statistical power, meaning it was unlikely to detect a true effect even if one existed. This result is inconclusive rather than definitive.

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The study

Certainty of evidence
Low

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    Abiodun Fatoba, Claire Simpson Assessing the causal association between celiac disease and autism spectrum disorder: A two-sample Mendelian randomization approach. Autism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research. 2025.

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