30-Year High Cardiovascular Risk Incidence and its Determinants: CUME Study.
Renata Soares Passinho, Josefina Bressan, Helen Hermana Miranda Hermsdorff and 2 others
PMID 38055471WHAT IT FOUND
101 of 2,854 young adult graduates developed high estimated 30-year cardiovascular risk over 2.62 years.
Men, employed participants, and higher processed food intake were more likely; 150 minutes or more weekly activity was less likely.
Key findings
01101 of 2,854 participants developed high cardiovascular risk during an average follow-up of 2.62 years.
02In adjusted analyses, male sex, employment, and high processed-food consumption were associated with higher risk, while 150 minutes or more of weekly physical activity was associated with lower risk.
0394 of the 101 participants who developed high risk were already intermediate risk at baseline, and 7 were low risk.
STILL TO COME
How it was doneWhat they foundWhat it means for RNs
Read the rest of this summary
You get three full summaries a month, free, and we do not ask for a card. Search, the TL;DRs and your library stay unlimited either way.
What it does not show
The variables used to estimate risk were self-reported, not measured directly in this analysis. Systolic blood pressure had more than 10% missing data, and the researchers used multiple imputation to fill gaps. The average follow-up was 2.62 years, but the outcome was a 30-year risk estimate, not actual cardiovascular events over 30 years. The sample was university graduates with high education, so it may not apply to people with lower education, younger or older ages, or different backgrounds. Other factors not evaluated, such as illicit substance use, heredity, and infectious diseases, could still influence the associations.
Declared interests
The study reports financing in part by CAPES, and the authors declare no conflict of interest.
The easy way to misread this
Do not read these results as proof that processed foods cause risk, employment causes risk, or physical activity prevents cardiovascular events. This was an observational cohort using estimated 30-year risk scores over an average follow-up of 2.62 years, so it reports associations rather than tested effects.